DR 98-015 EnergyNorth Natural Gas, Inc. 1998 SUMMER COST OF GAS ADJUSTMENT Order Approving the Cost of Gas Adjustment and Monthly Adjustments O R D E R N O. 22,890 March 31, 1998 APPEARANCES: McLane, Graf, Raulerson, and Middleton by Steven V. Camerino, Esq., on behalf of EnergyNorth Natural Gas, Inc.; and Michelle A. Caraway and Stephen P. Frink for the Staff of the New Hampshire Public Utilities Commission. I. PROCEDURAL HISTORY On February 17, 1998, EnergyNorth Natural Gas, Inc. (ENGI or the Company) filed with the New Hampshire Public Utilities Commission (Commission) its Cost of Gas Adjustment (CGA) for the 1998 summer period. Accompanying its CGA filing was a Motion for Protective Order and Confidential Treatment, which was granted February 24, 1998 (Order No. 22,859). ENGI's filing included the direct testimony and supporting attachments of Mark G. Savoie, Rate Analyst, and Donald E. Carroll, Vice President of Gas Supply. An Order of Notice was issued on February 27, 1998. ENGI informed customers of the impending change by publishing a copy of the Order of Notice in the Union Leader on March 2, 1998. Apart from the Office of Consumer Advocate (OCA) which is a statutorily recognized intervenor, there were no intervenors in this docket. A duly noticed hearing on the merits was held at the Commission on March 23, 1998. II. POSITIONS OF THE PARTIES AND STAFF EnergyNorth Natural Gas, Inc. ENGI witnesses Mark G. Savoie, Rate Analyst, and Donald E. Carroll, Vice President of Gas Supply, addressed the following issues: a) calculation of the Firm Sales CGA and the impact on customer bills; b) factors contributing to the decreased rate; and c) monthly adjustments to the CGA rate. A. Calculation and Impact of the Firm Sales CGA The proposed 1998 summer CGA credit of $0.0192 per therm was calculated by increasing the anticipated cost of gas of $13,510,913 by net adjustments of $98,912 and dividing the resulting anticipated gas costs of $13,609,825 by projected therm sales of 36,380,746 to arrive at a cost of gas of $0.3741 per therm, and then deducting the base summer cost of gas of $0.3933 per therm. ENGI's proposed 1998 summer CGA is a credit of $0.0192 per therm for Firm Sales, representing a decrease of $0.0206 per therm from the 1997 summer CGA charge of $0.0014 per therm. The proposed firm sales CGA rate of ($0.0192) will reduce an average residential heating customer's monthly gas bill by approximately $1.01, or 2.95 percent. B. Factors Contributing to the Decreased CGA Projected gas costs and therm sales for the 1998 summer period vary only slightly from those forecasted and experienced during the 1997 summer period. Only two adjusting items changed significantly, with the net impact being a $0.0200 per therm decrease in the proposed CGA rate. The 1998 summer CGA calculation includes a prior period under collection of $129,425, compared to a prior period under collection of $2,342,390 in the 1997 summer CGA calculation, a $2,212,965 decrease resulting in a $.0619 per therm decrease in the proposed 1998 summer CGA rate. The 1998 summer CGA calculation does not anticipate any supplier refunds; the 1997 summer CGA calculation included a projected supplier refund of $1,500,000. C. Monthly Adjustments to the CGA Rate ENGI proposed that it have the ability to adjust the approved CGA rate upward or downward monthly based on the Company's calculation of the projected over or under collection for the period and applied on a bills rendered basis. Under ENGI's proposal, the adjusted CGA rate would not increase or decrease by more than plus or minus 10% of the approved unit cost of gas. Should the projected over or under calculation for the period exceed 10% of the approved total anticipated cost of gas, the Company would file with the Commission for a change in the CGA rate. The filing would be contingent upon Commission Staff's (Staff) determination that the ensuing procedural schedule would allow for an order to be issued by the Commission prior to the first day of the last month of the CGA period. Company witness Mark Savoie explained that the proposed change to the CGA mechanism would better match gas cost revenues with actual gas costs, thereby minimizing over and under recoveries that are carried forward into subsequent periods. Mr. Savoie prepared a schedule (Exhibit No. 6) demonstrating what the likely impact would have been on the average residential heating customer and the anticipated over recovery for the 1997/1998 winter period if the proposed CGA mechanism had been in place. Customers would have experienced a rate decrease in each of the final three months of the winter period resulting in overall savings of $20, or 3.3%, for the winter period, and the over collection to be carried forward would have been $123,466 rather than the anticipated $2,354,316. ENGI asserts that having the ability to change the rates on a monthly basis to more accurately reflect market prices will send proper price signals, reduce carrying costs, reduce inter-generational subsidies and stabilize rates. Currently, CGA rates are based on projected gas costs and volumes, as well as other related items such as supplier refunds and margins earned on 280 day service. Natural gas prices are extremely volatile and increases and decreases often parallel oil and propane prices. Customers are accustomed to seeing oil and propane prices fluctuate and can respond accordingly, either through cutting back when prices are high or purchasing supplies at a fixed price. Currently, natural gas customers are assigned a fixed rate for the period and unless there is a substantial projected over or under collection and the gas company files for, and receives Commission approval of, a revised CGA, gas customers do not pay the related increase or decrease until the following related season. ENGI has proposed revising customer bills to reflect the total gas cost and non-gas costs portions of the bill. The new bills and monthly adjustments are designed to help customers identify the gas portion of the bill and to better recognize the price fluctuations associated with natural gas. The revised customer bills and the proposed monthly adjustment may help educate customers regarding what their actual gas costs are and the volatility of those costs. As the industry moves further towards competition, customers will be better prepared to assess other pricing and supply alternatives that may become available to them. In a separate filing, ENGI has proposed to offer a rate stability plan in which customers would have the option of locking in a rate for the winter period, thereby avoiding period price risks. The refund or recovery of any over or under collection also includes carrying costs, which can be substantial on large over or under collections. In a scheduled prepared by Mr. Savoie (Exhibit No. 8), a review of the carrying costs related to the over and under collections for the past five years was presented which illustrated the carrying costs ranging from a low of $11,001 on last summer's under collection of $129,425 to a high of $324,708 on the 1994/1995 over collection of $3,658,682. These carrying costs exaggerate the increase or decrease in the CGA rate associated with over and under collections. Over and under collections that are carried forward result in inter-generational subsidies. Customers that have contributed to the over or under collection and leave the system do not contribute to the recovery or receive a refund. Similarly, new customers either pay for costs that were not incurred on their behalf or receive an unearned benefit through a refund. Reducing over and under recoveries should reduce these subsidies. The price of gas remains the same under either the current CGA mechanism or the proposed monthly CGA mechanism. The proposed mechanism could potentially result in more changes of less magnitude, whereas the current mechanism often results in larger inter-seasonal swings. ENGI does not intend to change the monthly rate if the projected over or under collection is not significant. If the projected over or under collection becomes substantial, the Company would make a correction in the following month, thereby recovering a portion of the projected over or under recovery during that month. If in a later month the 10% trigger mechanism is exceeded, the Company would have already refunded or recovered a portion of the projected over or under recovery which will reduce the amount to be recovered or refunded over the remaining months. Under the current CGA mechanism, the entire projected over or under recovery would have to be recovered over the remaining months. ENGI would also benefit in the non-gas related area of being better able to predict its tax liability and make more accurate estimated tax payments, reducing the risk of tax penalties. Any associated savings would likely benefit the ratepayer in a general rate case. ENGI asserts that use of a monthly CGA mechanism would be consistent with New Hampshire statutes and administrative rules. Because the rate could not exceed 10% above the rate in effect at the start of the CGA period, there is no danger that ratepayers would be subjected to a new, higher rate without the opportunity for notice and hearing as provided for in RSA 378:3. Similar capped rates have been in effect for many years at the Commission, notably rates for interruptible sales and 280 day service. In addition, ENGI notes that N.H. Admin. Rules, Puc 1203.02(f) provides for CGA rates to be adjusted as frequently as determined by the Commission. While the practice has been for two CGA changes per year, it would appear that the Commission envisioned the possibility of a CGA rate being set more frequently. A monthly adjustment to the CGA, according to ENGI, therefore, is consistent with the Commission's statutory obligations and administrative rules. Staff After a thorough review of the filing and subsequent discovery, Staff indicated at the hearing that it believes ENGI's gas purchasing policies are sound and reasonable and that the Company is utilizing its available resources in a manner which minimizes gas costs. Staff also believes that the proposed 1998 summer CGA credit of $0.0192 per therm is reasonable and should be approved. Staff supports ENGI's proposal that it be allowed to adjust the CGA rate on a monthly basis in order to minimize any over or under recoveries and better match gas cost revenues with actual gas costs. OCA While unable to attend the hearing, the OCA asked Staff to read the following statement into the record on its behalf: "Although the OCA has not been heavily involved in this ENGI CGA filing, we understand that company's proposal to be an automatic, albeit minor, self-correcting trigger mechanism subject to reconciliation. As such, we generally support it as a trial as long as changes are only made when significant over or under collections are anticipated." III. COMMISSION ANALYSIS After having reviewed the record, we conclude that ENGI's proposed 1998 Summer CGA is consistent with its previous performance relative to minimizing gas costs. Accordingly, we accept and approve ENGI's proposed 1998 Summer CGA rate of ($0.0192) per therm. We also find that ENGI's proposed revision to the CGA mechanism is reasonable and in the public good. Allowing the Company the ability to make monthly adjustments to the CGA rate, within a ten percent (10%) limit, better serves the purpose for which the cost of gas adjustment was first implemented; i.e., to more accurately reflect seasonal use patterns and costs and prevent continuous rate increase filings. Gas costs remain unchanged and continue to be passed through to ratepayers on a dollar-for-dollar basis under each mechanism; however, the primary difference is the timing of those recoveries. By enabling the Company to pass along fluctuations in gas costs on a monthly basis, the Company will be better able to match those costs with the appropriate customers and to minimize the over and under collections and associated carrying costs. In recent years, the commodities market has experienced dramatic price fluctuations in natural gas. Actual gas costs exceeded projections so drastically during the 1996/1997 winter period that all of New Hampshire's local distribution companies submitted revised mid-winter CGA filings to avoid substantial under recoveries. And even in seasons where the over or under recoveries have not exceeded ten percent, thereby requiring a revised CGA filing, substantial over and under recoveries have resulted in large inter-seasonal swings. We have previously sought to stabilize gas prices through approval of hedging policies and believe that allowing monthly adjustments to the CGA rate will further stabilize gas costs and is consistent with prior orders. In a separate filing, ENGI has proposed a price stability plan that is designed to work similar to "pre-buy" oil programs, affording customers the opportunity to lock-in fixed prices for the winter period. Monthly adjustments that reflect actual gas costs will allow customers the ability to better value such a service. Lastly, the CGA mechanism is reviewed at least twice a year. Once the revised CGA mechanism has been implemented and observed over a reasonable period of time, it will be re-evaluated to determine if it is achieving the desired results and should be continued. Based upon the foregoing, it is hereby ORDERED, that ENGI's Eighth Revised Page 32 superseding Seventh Revised Page 32, N.H.P.U.C. tariff of EnergyNorth Natural Gas, Inc. providing for a Summer 1998 Cost of Gas Adjustment credit of $0.0192 per therm for the period April 1, 1998 through October 31, 1998 is hereby approved; and it is FURTHER ORDERED, that ENGI may adjust the approved CGA rate of ($0.0192) upward or downward monthly based on ENGI's calculation of the projected over or under collection for the period, but the cumulative adjustments shall not exceed ten percent (10%) of the approved unit cost of gas of $0.3741 per therm ($0.0374 per therm); and it is FURTHER ORDERED, that ENGI will provide the Commission with its monthly calculation of the projected over or under calculation, along with the resulting revised CGA rate for the subsequent month, not less than five (5) business days prior to the first day of the subsequent month. ENGI shall include a revised tariff page 32 - Calculation of Cost of Gas Adjustment for firm sales and revised firm rate schedules if the Company elects to adjust the CGA rate; and it is FURTHER ORDERED, that the over or under collection shall accrue interest at the Prime Rate reported in the Wall Street Journal. The rate is to be adjusted each quarter using the rate reported on the first date of the month preceding the first month of the quarter; and it is FURTHER ORDERED, that should the monthly reconciliation of known and projected gas costs deviate from the ten percent (10%) trigger mechanism, ENGI shall file a revised CGA; and it is FURTHER ORDERED, that the projected over or under collection in the calculation does not include any increases or decreases in revenues resulting from prior monthly adjustments; and it is FURTHER ORDERED, that filing a revised CGA is contingent upon the Commission's determination that the ensuing procedural schedule would allow for an order to be issued prior to the first day of the last month of the CGA period; and it is FURTHER ORDERED, that pending a Commission order revising the CGA rate, the Company may adjust the CGA rate to the extent that the rate shall not deviate more than ten percent (10%) from the approved unit cost of gas of $0.3741 per therm ($0.0374 per therm); and it is FURTHER ORDERED, that ENGI shall file properly annotated tariff pages in compliance with this Order no later than 15 days from the issuance date of this Order, as required by N.H. Admin. Rules, Puc 1603. By order of the Public Utilities Commission of New Hampshire this thirty-first day of March, 1998. Douglas L. Patch Bruce B. Ellsworth Susan S. Geiger Chairman Commissioner Commissioner Attested by: Thomas B. Getz Executive Director and Secretary