DR 98-029 EnergyNorth Natural Gas, Inc. Petition for Approval to Modify its Natural Gas Price Risk Management Policy Order Nisi Approving Modifications to the Natural Gas Price Risk Management Policy O R D E R N O. 22,915 April 30, 1998 On March 6, 1998, EnergyNorth Natural Gas, Inc. (ENGI) filed with the New Hampshire Public Utilities Commission (Commission) its Petition for Approval to Modify its Natural Gas Price Risk Management Policy (Hedging Policy) and to Adopt a Natural Gas Price Stability Plan (PSP). On April 2, 1998, the Commission issued an Order of Notice which bifurcated the Hedging Policy from the PSP, scheduled a Prehearing Conference and proposed a procedural schedule for the PSP. This Order Nisi specifically addresses the Hedging Policy and the PSP only in regard to its effects on the Hedging Policy. The purpose of the Hedging Policy is to mitigate natural gas price volatility for ENGI's firm gas sales customers at a minimal cost. By Order No. 22,699 (September 3, 1997), the Commission approved ENGI's Hedging Policy for effect through the end of the 1997/1998 winter period (March 31, 1998). The Hedging Policy allowed ENGI to use call options to hedge up to 100% of the index-priced Gulf Coast supplies purchased for the winter period. A call option gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to purchase a commodity at a predetermined price and before a predetermined date. Call options allow ENGI to limit the upside cost exposure of natural gas prices. ENGI credits the Cost of Gas Adjustment (CGA) for the entire amount of any gains resulting from the purchase of options. Additionally, premiums and brokerage fees are charged entirely to the CGA. The Commission approved a $500,000 spending cap of net Hedging Policy costs (i.e., total premiums and brokerage fees, less gains resulting from the purchase of options). Although ENGI relies upon the advice of a brokerage firm, the final decision as to how much and when to purchase and sell the options rests upon four members of ENGI's senior management. ENGI summarized the results of the winter 1997/1998 Hedging Policy. For the entire winter, ENGI paid $364,800 in call premiums in addition to $4,575 in brokerage fees. As a result of the November options having value on their expiration date, ENGI received a net gain for those options. All options purchased for the months of December, January and February had no value on their expiration dates due to the fact that gas prices had fallen and, therefore, the options had become worthless. As a result of the gain experienced in November 1997, ENGI's net outlay for the winter was $268,800, exclusive of the brokerage fees mentioned above. ENGI requests the following modifications to the Hedging Policy: 1) ENGI may hedge the cost of natural gas volumes not only for its Gulf Coast but also for its Canadian index-priced supplies; 2) in addition to hedging volumes purchased in the winter months of November through March, ENGI may also hedge its supplies for the shoulder months of October and April; 3) the two benchmarks, against which ENGI compares the current natural gas market price to determine the amount of supplies that will be hedged, will be updated to reflect the averages for the most recent 3-year data; and 4) in addition to purchasing call options, ENGI may sell put options. By selling a put option, ENGI agrees to purchase a specified quantity of natural gas at a predetermined price at any time up to the expiration date of the option if the purchaser of the put option decides to exercise its right. In exchange for taking on this risk, ENGI receives a premium. The purchase of call options and sale of put options in conjunction with each other is known as a "collar" because it essentially establishes the maximum (the call) and the minimum (the put) price at which ENGI will buy gas contracts on the commodities market. The intent of a collar is to offset the premium paid when purchasing a call option with the premium received when selling a put option. The use of a collar allows ENGI to mitigate excessive price increases through the use of call options, while largely negating the cost of the premium that would normally be incurred for the call option. In exchange, ENGI forfeits the potential benefit of a decrease in gas prices below a certain level. ENGI proposes that it will not hedge more than 100% of its index-based supplies between the modified Hedging Policy and the PSP on a combined basis. Under the PSP, ENGI requests to make available no more than 20% of the current winter period's weather normalized therm sales. Under the PSP, which is being addressed through a separate procedural schedule, ENGI proposes to use EFPs (Exchange of Futures for Physicals) to hedge the gas supplies allocated to customers participating in the PSP. ENGI does not propose to change the $500,000 per fiscal year spending cap of net hedging costs. If 100% of the Gulf Coast and Canadian index-priced supplies are hedged, ENGI estimates that the maximum amount at risk for firm sales CGA customers is $0.0045 per therm; at 80%, the risk is $0.0057 per therm. The reason for the increased risk per therm is that the EFPs, which ENGI proposes to use to hedge gas supplies for PSP customers, essentially have no additional costs associated with them (i.e., there are no premiums). Thus, if the PSP is approved, the $500,000 spending cap would be allocated over fewer therms. For the average domestic heating customer using 1,023 therms per year, the estimated maximum increase in the overall annual bill is $4.62 or $5.78, at 100% and 80%, respectively. ENGI believes that the 1997/1998 Hedging Policy was very successful in achieving the intended goal of protecting against a large increase in the cost of gas as has been experienced in the previous two winters. ENGI established a good working relationship with its broker and set up an efficient and effective system for tracking all trades. ENGI believes that the revisions will allow the program to be more cost effective while still achieving the intended goal of upside price protection. ENGI proposes that the modified Hedging Policy continue in effect until it is either revised or abrogated by the Commission. On April 20, 1998, ENGI filed with the Commission an executed Action by Consent, signed by ENGI's Board of Directors, approving the revised Hedging Policy as filed with the Commission on March 6, 1998. After careful review of the filing, we find that the revised Hedging Policy is reasonable and in the public good. We shall approve the Hedging Policy subject to the following provision pending an order on the PSP: ENGI may hedge up to 80% of its Gulf Coast and Canadian index-priced supplies. Use of EFPs to hedge the remaining 20% of supplies will be evaluated during the PSP proceeding. The revised Hedging Policy represents a fairly conservative approach to the use of the futures market. The use of a collar will allow ENGI to limit the cost exposure of substantial upswings in the price of natural gas while attempting to mitigate the cost of the premiums. Including the shoulder months of April and October is a reasonable modification to the Hedging Policy. These two months can be fairly cold, increasing demand and costs to customers. The use of a collar for April and October can also reduce the price volatility often associated with these months. We shall not address in this order the treatment of net costs which exceed the $500,000 spending cap. That determination will be made in ENGI's next rate case. Based upon the foregoing, it is hereby ORDERED NISI, that the modified Natural Gas Price Risk Management Policy is APPROVED; and it is FURTHER ORDERED, that ENGI may hedge up to 80% of the Gulf Coast and Canadian index-priced supplies until such time as the Commission addresses the remaining 20% in the PSP proceeding; and it is FURTHER ORDERED, that pursuant to N.H. Admin. Rules, Puc 1604.03 or Puc 1605.03, ENGI shall cause a copy of this Order Nisi to be published once in a statewide newspaper of general circulation or of circulation in those portions of the state where operations are conducted, such publication to be no later than May 7, 1998 and to be documented by affidavit filed with this office on or before May 14, 1998; and it is FURTHER ORDERED, that all persons interested in responding to this petition be notified that they may submit their comments or file a written request for a hearing on this matter before the Commission no later than May 21, 1998; and it is FURTHER ORDERED, that any party interested in responding to such comments or request for hearing shall do so no later than May 28, 1998; and it is FURTHER ORDERED, that this Order Nisi shall be effective June 1, 1998, unless the Commission provides otherwise in a supplemental order issued prior to the effective date. By order of the Public Utilities Commission of New Hampshire this thirtieth day of April, 1998. Douglas L. Patch Bruce B. Ellsworth Susan S. Geiger Chairman Commissioner Commissioner Attested by: Claire D. DiCicco Assistant Secretary